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Obama sinks or swims on new voters - Phil's Rambling Rants — LiveJournal
August 30th, 2008
03:18 pm


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Obama sinks or swims on new voters

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[User Picture]
Date:September 1st, 2008 02:19 am (UTC)
Among Hispanics who do vote, the only subgroup that isn't strongly Democratic is Cuban. Perhaps the ones who don't vote are significantly more Catholic than the ones who do, but it seems unlikely to me. Further, I assume that eligible but non-voting Hispanics are much younger than voting ones, and that younger Hispanic voters are less likely to vote Republican because their religious leaders tell them to than older ones. I have no statistics to back those assumptions for Hispanics, but they're true of the general population.
[User Picture]
Date:September 1st, 2008 07:19 pm (UTC)
Here's something to substantiate theory: A link to an article about a poll that shows Obama gaining over McCain amongst Hispanics:


Granted, it's from before the VP candidate was picked, but if immigration is a stronger issue, McCain won't get their vote.
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